The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four unit residential properties rose 53-basis points between the fourth quarter of 2007 and the first quarter of 2008 to reach a rate of 6.35-percent of all loans in delinquency on a seasonally-adjusted basis, according to the
Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) latest National Delinquency Survey.
The MBA says the delinquency rate also is up 151-basis points when compared to a year ago.
“The seasonally-adjusted total delinquency rate is the highest recorded in the MBA survey since 1979, however the non-seasonally adjusted delinquency rate is not,” the MBA concluded in its latest report. “Delinquency rates normally peak at the end of the year and drop to their lowest point for the year at the end of the first quarter.”
The MBA also documented increases in the percentage of loans entering the foreclosure process. According to the latest survey, 2.47-percent of all mortgage loans were in foreclosure at the end of the first quarter in 2008, a 43-basis point increase when compared to the fourth quarter of 2007, and a 119-basis point jump when compared to the year before.
Despite the significant increases in the delinquency and foreclosure rate, the MBA asserted in its study that most of the findings are dictated by regional trends and certain local markets are fueling the dramatic increase in foreclosures and delinquencies.
“The problems in California and Florida are extraordinary and they are the main drivers of the national trend,” the MBA said. “The quarterly rate of foreclosure starts on subprime ARM loans in California was 9.24-percent. This rate, combined with Florida's rate of 8.25-percent, drove up the national average foreclosure start rate to the point where 43 states were below the national average of 6.32-percent. California saw a total of approximately 109,000 foreclosure starts and Florida 77,000.”
Another factor played a role in what type of loans went delinquent.
“While the foreclosure start rates were up for all types of mortgages, a reflection of the decline in home prices, the magnitude of the national increases is clearly driven by certain loan types and certain states,” said Jay Brinkmann, vice president for research and economics at the MBA. “For example, while subprime ARMs represented 6-percent of the loans outstanding, they represented 39-percent of the foreclosures started during the first quarter.”
Kerri Panchuk | 06.05.08